Earthquake probabilities and magnitude distribution (M ≥ 6.7) along the Haiyuan fault, northwestern China   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

冉洪流 《地震学报(英文版)》2004,17(6)

Introduction Haiyuan fault is a major seismogenic fault in north-central China. One of the most devastat-ing great earthquake in the 20th century occurred near Haiyuan in northwestern China on Decem-ber 16, 1920. More than 220 000 people were killed and thousands of towns and villages weredestroyed during the devastating earthquake. A 230 km long left-lateral surface rupture zone wasformed along the Haiyuan fault during the earthquake with maximum left-lateral displacement of10 m. Pale…  相似文献   

Relationships between moment magnitude and fault parameters: theoretical and semi-empirical relationships   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王海云  陶夏新 《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2003,2(2):201-211

Fault parameters are important in earthquake hazard analysis. In this paper, theoretical relationships between moment magnitude and fault parameters including subsurface rupture length, downdip rupture width, rupture area, and average slip over the fault surface are deduced based on seismological theory. These theoretical relationships are further simplified by applying similarity conditions and an unique form is established. Then, combining thc simplified theoretical relationships between moment magnitude and fault parameters with seismic source data selected in this study, a practical semi-empirical relationship is established. The seismic source data selected is also to used to derive empirical relationships between moment magnitude and fault parameters by the ordinary least square regression method. Comparisons between semi-empirical relationships and empirical relationships show that the former depict distribution trends of data better than the latter. It is also observed that downdip rupture widths of strike slip faults are saturated when moment magnitude is more than 7.0, but downdip rupture widths of dip slip faults are not saturated in the moment magnitude ranges of this study.  相似文献   

黄河小浪底水库诱发地震预测   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

李志建  滕伟福  周爱国  徐国刚 《地质灾害与环境保护》2000,11(4):306-309

黄河小浪底水库库区地质构造复杂 ,库区及周边存在着十几条活动断层 ,它们是可能诱震断层。本文首先对库区断裂分布规律、相互关系进行分析 ,并探讨其断裂活动性 ,然后在综合地质条件分析、地震地质与工程地质类比的基础上 ,应用概率预测法分析得知小浪底水库有诱发地震的可能 ,并采用水库综合影响参数法、断层破裂长度法、聚类分析法估算了水库诱发地震震级 ,结果表明其震级以 5级为上限 ,随后简单估计了其震中位置与时间。  相似文献   

基于地震危险性分析的场地地震动持时特性研究     

高玉峰  刘汉龙  朱伟 《世界地震工程》2000,16(4):109-112

通过地震危险性分析计算,认为场地震动力持时主要决定于近场地震影响,潜在震源区震级上限越大,场地地震动持时越大,潜在震源区其它地震活动性参数（年发生率、起算震级、ｂ值）减小或设防水准降低,场地地震动持时增加,且地震动持时增加幅度较小。  相似文献   

Magnitude-Intensity Relationships in the Ibero-Magrebhian Region     

C. López Casado  S. Molina  J. J. Giner  J. Delgado 《Natural Hazards》2000,22(3):269-294

In this paper we present magnitude (Ms) – magnitude(mb) and magnitude-intensity relationships which areconsidered the most adequate in the Ibero-Maghrebianregion. This work is based on selected samples ofrecently revised events with magnitude mb assigned bythe Instituto Geográfico Nacional (I.G.N.) and Msassigned by I.S.C and N.E.I.C., and isoseismal mapsfrom 142 events. Using these data, we have obtainedone magnitude (Ms) – magnitude (mb) relationship, twomagnitude (mb and Ms) assignment relationships viaepicentral intensity (I₀), and ten magnitude (mb andMs) assignments relationships via macroseismicinformation: four using Ambraseys' methodology (1985)and six using the isoseismal area of degree III, IV and VI.According to the obtained results it could be concluded that historical magnitude assignment with lesser uncertainties are those obtained via macroseismic information using magnitude-intensity relationships with Ambraseys' methodology (1985). The magnitude-isoseismal area assignment relationships have, in most cases, great differences depending on the degree of the isoseismal area used. Magnitude assignments via epicentral intensity have the highest uncertainties. Geographic regionalization of the relationshipshas been studied but the highest correlations and statistical significance are obtained when we fit all the Ibero-Maghrebian region data.Finally we have used the results obtained in this workto assign magnitude to some important historicalearthquakes in the Ibero-Maghrebian region: the 1755Lisbon earthquake, the 1680 Málaga earthquake, the1829 Torrevieja earthquake and the 1884 Arenas del Reyearthquake. According to our relationships andmethodology we have assigned an Ms value of 9.3 ±0.6 to the 1755 Lisbon earthquake (its mb magnitudecannot be estimated due to the saturation of the mbscale), an mb value of 6.3 ±0.4 and an Ms valueof 6.9 ± 0.6 to the 1829 Torrevieja earthquake, anmb value of 6.2 ± 0.4 and an Ms value of 6.4 ±0.6 to the 1680 Málaga earthquake and an mb valueof 6.1 ± 0.4 and an Ms value of 6.5 ± 0.6 tothe 1884 Arenas del Rey earthquake.  相似文献   

GCM-simulated hydrology in the Arctic duringn the past 21,000 years     

Benjamin Felzer  Starley Thompson  David Pollard  Jon Bergengren 《Journal of Paleolimnology》2000,24(1):15-28

The Paleoclimates from Arctic Lakes and Estuaries (PALE) project has chosen to conduct high resolution data-model comparisons for the Arctic region at 21 and 10 (calendar) ka BP. The model simulations for 21, 10, and 0 ka BP were conducted with the GENESIS 2.0 GCM. The 10 ka BP simulation was coupled to the EVE vegetation model. The primary boundary conditions differing from present at 21 ka BP were the northern hemisphere ice sheets and lower CO2, and at 10 ka BP were the orbital insolation and smaller northern hemisphere ice sheets. The purpose of this article is to discuss the hydrological consequences of these simulations.At the Last Glacial Maximum (21 ka BP) the large ice sheets over North America and Eurasia and the lower CO2 levels produced a colder climate than present, with less precipitation throughout the Arctic, except where circulation was altered by the ice sheets. At 10 ka BP greater summer insolation resulted in a warmer and wetter Beringia, but conditions remained cold and dry in the north Atlantic sector, in the vicinity of the remnant ice sheets. Less winter insolation at 10 ka BP resulted in colder and drier conditions throughout the Arctic. Precipitation - evaporation generally correlated with precipitation except where changes in the surface type (ice sheets, vegetation at 10 ka BP, or sea level at 21 ka BP) caused large changes in the evaporation rate. The primary hydrological differences (from present) at 21 and 10 ka BP correlated with the temperature differences, which were a direct result of the large-scale boundary condition changes.  相似文献   

兰州地震台大震速报震级(Ms)的研究     

尹志文  李英  张淑贞 《高原地震》2000,(1)

选用了兰州地震台大震速报仪器 DK- 1中长周期记录仪记录到的 1990年 1月～ 1999年 3月的大震速报地震共 5 44个 ,与中国地震局分析预报中心编纂的《中国地震速报台网观测报告》给出的震级比较 ,对兰州地震台 DK- 1地震仪测定的面波震级 (Ms)进行了对比和分析研究。结果认为兰州地震台大震速报 DK- 1地震仪测定的面波震级(Ms)偏差与震中距离、震中区域及地震大小有关。给出了不同震中距离、不同震级范围及不同地区发生地震的面波震级台基校正值 ,供在今后的速报工作中参考使用 ,将有助于提高兰州台大震速报的震级测定精度。  相似文献   

A Preliminary Interpretation of Near-field Observation Data of the Zhangbei Earthquake     

Shi Jinhu  Lai Xiaoling  Duan Yonghong  Li Songlin  Zhang Xiankang  Song Zhanlong  Yang Jian 《中国地震研究》2000,14(2):179-187

In this paper, a preliminary data processing was made for tbe aftershock records or theZhangbei M6.2 earthquake on Jan. 10, 1998. The hypocenters of 205 earthquakes with M_L≥0.5 were located. The result shows that most aftershockS were concentrated in a more than10 km long and 5～8 km wide NE-trending beIt. The source mechanism solutions of largeraftersbocks were also calculated, from which it can be inferred that the faulted zone of themain shock is an NE-trending fault. Furthermore, the spectral analysis of P waves was made.The corner frequency is about 10 Hz.  相似文献   

Discussion on Principles and Methods in Estimating the Maximum Potential Earthquakes in Low Seismicity Areas     

Chen Jiageng  Yan Jiaquan  Xu Guangyin  Hao Yuqin 《中国地震研究》2000,14(2):188-198

Five principles and methods are proposed for estimating the maximum potential earthquakesin low seismicity areas,and their applicabilities are discussed,taking Sichuan basin as asample area.The proposed principles and methods are not only on the grounds of thegeological tectonics but also considered fully the mutual complementation between geologicaland seismological methods.They will be helpful to the study of engineering seismology andthe assessment of designing ground motion parameters in low seismicity areas.  相似文献   

The dependence of response spectrum on the tectonic ambient shear stress field     

李保昆  陈培善  白彤霞 《地震学报(英文版)》2005,18(3):313-321

Introduction The acceleration response spectrum and peak ground acceleration are the necessary and im-portant parameters in earthquake-resistant design at present. They are still active research field. With the increase of digital high accurate strong motion observation data, especially the earth-quakes of Loma Prieta (M=7.0) in 1989; Landers (M=7.3) in 1992; Big Bear (M=6.4) in 1994 and Northridge (M=6.7) in 1994 in USA; Kozani (M=6.6) earthquake and afteshocks in 1995 in Greece; Dinar…  相似文献